Getty ImagesA political tsunami is sweeping through Germany. The hard-right nationalist Alternative for Germany (AfD) party firmly believes this, despite being labeled as “radical”, “racist”, and “anti-democratic” by opponents. Germany’s domestic intelligence service has deemed the party “anti-constitutional”. However, if polls are accurate, the AfD is set to become Germany’s second largest political force after the upcoming elections on Sunday. This potential outcome would mark a significant shift not only within the country but also across Europe.
The AfD’s rise in prominence is significant due to the party’s alignment with populist right-wing movements that have gained support throughout Europe. Drawing inspiration from Donald Trump, the AfD shares similar views on being “anti-woke”, strict on migration, and supportive of fossil fuels. Additionally, they advocate for halting weapon shipments to Ukraine and easing tensions with Russia, a stance that has garnered public support from the Trump administration, much to the dismay of many Germans.
Germany’s status as Europe’s largest economy and one of its most influential nations adds weight to the AfD’s growing influence. Historically, alongside the UK and France, Germany has played a pivotal role in shaping and securing Europe’s liberal order and defense structures post-World War Two and the Cold War.
The potential success of the AfD represents a significant departure from post-war Germany, as the party teeters on the edge of being labeled a threat to the Federal Republic and its liberal constitution. This shift challenges the long-held belief that Germany’s history would protect it from embracing extreme right-wing ideologies.
The economic landscape of Germany has also come under scrutiny, with criticisms aimed at its heavy reliance on energy-intensive industries such as combustion-engine cars and the chemical sector. The country’s failure to invest in research and development, big tech, and AI has left it vulnerable, especially with its dependence on exports to China, gas from Russia, and US defense support.
Furthermore, Germany’s military capabilities have faced scrutiny, particularly in light of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the country’s role in providing military aid to the region. The AfD’s contrasting views on peace and military spending have sparked debate within the country and raised concerns among European allies.
The crumbling infrastructure, migration challenges, and political landscape in Germany are all factors contributing to the country’s changing dynamics and the rise of the AfD. As the nation heads into elections, the outcome will not only shape its domestic policies but also have implications for Europe as a whole.