Evidence continues to suggest that a Syrian Airlines Il-76 cargo plane currently stationed at Russia’s Khmeimim Air Base in Syria may be the same aircraft that went missing during the final days of Bashar Al Assad’s regime. Rumors circulated that the plane, possibly carrying Assad himself, was shot down after disappearing from online flight tracking sites. Assad reportedly fled Damascus for Khmeimim and then Moscow, according to a statement attributed to him. However, there is uncertainty about the authenticity of the statement. Despite Russian offers of asylum, Assad has not been seen in public for over a week.
The statement claims that Assad intended to lead the fight against rebel forces from the Russian base but was evacuated to Russia on December 8. Flight tracking data supports the timeline outlined in the statement, showing the Il-76 flying north from Damascus before disappearing near Homs. Speculation arose that the aircraft was shot down, supported by NASA’s FIRMS data showing a ‘hot spot’ in the area where the plane vanished.
The Il-76’s unusual flight path and recent activity in Libya have raised questions about its involvement in Assad’s escape. Satellite imagery confirms the presence of the Syrian Airlines aircraft at Khmeimim, but the registration code has not been clearly visible. Reports suggest other regime officials have sought refuge at the Russian base.
Uncertainty remains about the future of Khmeimim and Tartus Naval Base, both crucial to Russian operations in Syria. Russian forces are reportedly withdrawing, but their long-term plans for the bases are unclear. The end of Assad’s regime offers a rare opportunity for closer examination of these strategic facilities.