Mengapa Donald Trump menyerah?

Donald Trump’s recent decision to backtrack on his aggressive trade war policies is a clear indication that even the most powerful leaders are susceptible to pressure from investors, lawmakers, and donors. After facing backlash from various stakeholders, including Capitol Hill Republicans and influential business figures like Elon Musk, Trump announced a 90-day pause on steep tariffs that he had previously imposed on US trading partners, with the exception of China.

Trump’s abrupt U-turn came after a week of playing chicken with the markets, during which he had insisted on maintaining a hard line in his trade negotiations. However, as the economic and financial implications of his actions became increasingly apparent, the president had to acknowledge the risks of continuing down that path. The multi-front trade war that Trump had initiated on April 2 was proving to be unsustainable, both economically and politically.

The decision to pause the tariffs was a significant blow to Trump, who had positioned himself as the only leader capable of reordering the global trade system in favor of the United States. The fact that he had to backtrack on one of his signature policy promises is a clear indication that he is not immune to the pressures of the market and public opinion.

Trump’s shift in stance was ultimately influenced by a combination of factors, including pressure from investors, lawmakers, and economic experts. The sell-off in US equity markets, as well as warnings of a potential financial crisis, prompted Trump to rethink his approach. Even Wall Street executives like Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan played a role in persuading Trump to reconsider his position. Dimon’s warning of a possible recession in the US likely had a significant impact on Trump’s decision-making process.

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While the decision to pause the tariffs may have provided some relief to business groups, the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s trade policies still looms large. The 10% tariffs on most countries remain in place, the trade war with China has escalated, and the potential for levies on specific sectors like cars and pharmaceuticals remains unclear. The National Foreign Trade Council has called for a de-escalation of tensions and the identification of durable paths forward to eliminate tariffs and rebuild trust with economic partners.

Despite the temporary pause on tariffs, Democrats continue to criticize Trump for the chaos and uncertainty caused by his trade policies. Senator Dick Durbin of Illinois emphasized that the real damage of the Trump Tariff Tax will not disappear in 90 days and that American families and businesses continue to bear the brunt of the ongoing trade war.

In conclusion, Trump’s decision to backtrack on his aggressive trade war policies highlights the power of the market and the importance of listening to feedback from various stakeholders. The events of the past week serve as a reminder that even the most powerful leaders are not immune to the consequences of their actions, and that ultimately, the well-being of the economy and the country must take precedence over political posturing.

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